First conflict based on global warming will be in 2021



Peter Schwartz : Author, futurist, innovator
"Climate change will create new military flashpoints. With a rise of the sea level around Bangladesh, says Peter Schwartz, "you will suddenly find 100 million refugees headed towards India". This dwarfs the biggest refugee migration seen so far: four million people displaced from Afghanistan since the conflicts of the 1980s. Meanwhile, as the Mekong river dries up, China will dam it, even though 60 million people in Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia depend on its waters for their livelihood."


http://www.wired.co.uk/magazine/archive/2009/05/features/whats-next-the-future-from-2009-to-249?page=all