Soviet Union will collapse due to new technologies such as cellular phones and fax machines disempowering authoritarian governments by removing state control over the flow of information.
In 2005, Mikhail Gorbachev told Kurzweil that emerging decentralized electronic communication "was a big factor" for fostering democracy in the Soviet Union.
Kurzweil, Ray. 1990. The age of intelligent machines. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press.